EP
EVOLUTION PETROLEUM CORP (EPM)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue was $21.29M (-3% y/y, +1% q/q) and diluted EPS was $0.02 (down from $0.06 y/y; down from $0.10 q/q); Adjusted EBITDA was $7.30M (-10% y/y, -15% q/q) .
- Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly missed ($21.73M estimate*) while EPS exceeded ($0.01 estimate* vs $0.02 actual); 3 estimates for each metric; highlight the mix shift toward gas helped EPS resilience despite higher LOE *.
- Operationally, natural gas revenue rose 38% y/y to $5.9M, but LOE increased to $13.1M ($19.45/BOE) due to TexMex integration and operator transition; Delhi NGL plant downtime and natural declines constrained volumes .
- Balance sheet and capital allocation remain disciplined: $53.0M drawn on the credit facility with $11.9M liquidity; $4.2M dividends paid in Q1 and quarterly dividend maintained at $0.12 for fiscal Q2 2026 .
- Transcript for the Q1 FY26 earnings call is not yet available in our document catalog; timing and webcast details were provided, but full Q&A themes cannot be assessed as of now .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Natural gas strength: Gas revenue grew 38% y/y to $5.9M on a 43% increase in realized gas prices, supporting cash flow amid softer oil/NGL pricing .
- Strategic mineral & royalty acquisition: Closed largest SCOOP/STACK minerals deal, “providing immediate accretion to cash flow per share… exceptional margins and a multi-year inventory… with no incremental future capital obligations,” per CEO Kelly Loyd .
- Portfolio diversification and normalization: Jonah volumes normalized after prior pipeline imbalance; Hamilton Dome LOE normalized versus prior period; diversified assets cushioned commodity volatility .
What Went Wrong
- Cost pressure: LOE rose to $13.1M ($19.45/BOE) vs $11.8M ($17.15/BOE) y/y, primarily from TexMex integration and operator transition costs; DD&A per BOE ticked up to $8.26 .
- Volume headwinds: Delhi NGL turbine replacement downtime and natural declines reduced total production (-2% y/y) to 7,315 BOEPD; liquids share declined (72% of revenue vs 80% y/y) .
- Profit compression: Net income fell to $0.8M (-60% y/y; -76% q/q) as lower realized oil/NGL prices and higher LOE outweighed gas price tailwind; Adj. EBITDA fell to $7.3M (-10% y/y; -15% q/q) .
Financial Results
Segment/product mix detail:
Key KPIs & balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Note: No formal numerical guidance (revenue, EPS, margins, OpEx, tax rate) provided in Q1 FY26 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Transcript not available in the document catalog as of this analysis; scheduling and webcast details were provided . Themes below reflect quarter disclosures across press releases/8-Ks.
Management Commentary
- “During a quarter marked by softer crude prices and higher operating costs related to the initial integration and transition to the new operator of our recent TexMex acquisition… we closed our largest minerals and royalties acquisition to date in the SCOOP/STACK, providing immediate accretion to cash flow per share…” — Kelly Loyd, President & CEO .
- “Looking ahead, we remain resolute in creating long-term shareholder value… ensuring the strength and continuity of our quarterly cash dividend… we will pay $0.12 per share for the 14th consecutive quarter for our fiscal 2nd quarter ending December 31, 2025.” — Kelly Loyd .
- Prior perspective: “Fiscal 2025 was a defining year… near-record total production… strengthened the balance sheet… largest minerals-only acquisition… positioning the Company to generate durable cash flow through future cycles.” — Kelly Loyd .
Q&A Highlights
- The Q1 FY26 earnings call transcript is not available in the document catalog; the company scheduled a call for Nov. 12, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. CT with webcast/dial-in details provided .
- Without the transcript, Q&A themes and any guidance clarifications cannot be reliably assessed at this time.
Estimates Context
- Result vs consensus: Revenue modestly missed; EPS was a clear beat. Bold implications: EPS beat; Revenue miss.
- Drivers: Lower realized oil/NGL prices and higher LOE weighed on revenue/margins; gas price uplift and hedge gains supported EPS and cash flow (net gain on derivatives $2.18M) .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Expect continued cost normalization from TexMex integration; management explicitly expects production to increase and LOE/BOE to decline in coming quarters — constructive for margins and FCF .
- Gas exposure: Gas price tailwinds and robust hedge book underpin cash generation; monitor gas price trajectory and hedge realization to sustain EBITDA .
- Capital allocation: Dividend continuity at $0.12/share and accretive minerals acquisition signal commitment to shareholder returns; watch leverage/availability as liquidity tightened to $11.9M post-deal .
- Operational cadence: SCOOP/STACK activity paced to commodity prices; Delhi normalization and Jonah pipeline imbalances resolved support steadier volumes; liquids share may recover with price improvement .
- Estimate resets: Sell-side models likely lower LOE/BOE for future periods and reflect higher gas realizations; consider modest upward EPS revisions if cost normalization materializes and gas pricing holds .
- Risk flags: Elevated LOE in Q1 and higher DD&A rate indicate margin pressure sensitivity to oil/NGL prices and integration costs; monitor operator transitions and maintenance schedules (Delhi NGL plant) .
- Trading setup: Into the next quarter, catalysts include visible LOE improvement at TexMex, sustained gas price strength, and potential liquids recovery; dividend support provides downside cushion .